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FREE
NFL Betting Tips
Football gambling strategy & winning
secrets
Everyone
seems to have their own special system for picking a football winner
and there must be a thousand different "Cheat Sheets"
out there. While we don't subscribe to any particular system --
and we certainly don't endorse any of the so-called "Gurus"
-- we do want to share with you some gambling tips that we've found
useful for betting and winning on football.
Pointspreads & How to Spot a Bargain
Discover why a 3½ point line can be a better
value than 9½ points!
Football scoring
is a "numbers game" … points are added to the score in units of
2, 3, 6, 7 or 8. With this in mind, its important to realize that
certain point spreads are more important than others. Because
a relatively high percentage of games end with a margin of victory
in increments of these numbers, it's imperative that attention be
paid to the most meaningful point spreads.
Well over half
of all pro football games end with one of ten possible differences
in the score: 1, 3, 4, 6, 7, 10, 11, 13, 14, or 17. So, the "Half-Point"
move off any of these numbers can represent a significant betting
opportunity.
Watch
for Threes!
For example, a line of +3.5 is a bargain compared to that same underdog
at +3 … this indicates that the favored team must now score a touchdown
as opposed to a field goal in order to win the game. So, in essence,
a line move to +3.5 can be considered much more significant that,
say, a line move from +5 to +5.5. And,
by the same logic, a point spread that moves from +3 to +2.5 indicates
a riskier proposition on the underdog. These half-point line changes
from a point spread of 3 can be much more significant than larger
changes.
For instance,
a line change from +7.5 to +9.5 is hardly worth noticing. Because
football games do not usually end with a margin of 8 or 9, the move
from +7.5 to +9.5 doesn't make much difference. When a team covers,
or fails to cover, 7.5 points, they almost always cover, or fail
to cover, 9.5 as well.
Check
out the live lines at our favorite online sportsbook and see if
you can spot a bargain!
The
13 Most Important Numbers in Pro Football Betting
To gamble on
football, it's important to realize that certain scores are more
likely to occur than other scores. Would you believe that only
13 different numbers represent more than 66% of all NFL football
scores!
It's true! When
predicting final football scores, you must take into account these
REAL NUMBERS … 7, 10, 13, 14, 16, 17, 20, 21, 23, 24, 27, 28,
and 31
These numbers
(plus scores in the category of "Over 40") are the only real numbers
worth considering when forecasting the final outcome. Always adjust
your predictions accordingly. In
other words, say you've forecast the Titans over the Rams by a score
of 30-26 … this score probably won't happen! Adjust your numbers
to a score with a higher probability of occurring … say, 31-24 or
28-27. Now you are dealing with a point spread worthy of consideration.
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More
Gambling Tips
Find
the Best Betting Lines
This is perhaps
the most important online betting tip we can offer - shop for
the best possible odds from the online sportsbooks. There are
two ways to do this in our opinion:
1. Surf the
internet sportsbooks, register with as many as possible in order
to have access to their betting lines, and before placing any wager,
check each sportsbook's lines to see who offers the best odds on
a particular wager. Sounds like a lot of work, but nobody said gambling
was easy.
OR
2.
Follow our recommendation for the one sportsbook that consistently
offers the most competitive lines for betting on football - GameDay
Sportsbook & Casino. We've done our homework and nobody
comes close to the exceptional lines, customer service and fast
payouts offered by GameDay.
Click
here to visit GameDay Sportsbook and Casino today
Don't
Give Away More Than a Touchdown in the NFL
It
may work in college football, but laying more than 7 points in the
pros is a sure fire way to empty your wallet. The difference in
talent between two college teams is often large enough to warrant
giving up double digits, but NFL matchups are rarely that lopsided.
Be
Selective
Be
realistic - what are the odds of you picking every game correctly
on a given week? Be selective and look for the 3 or 4 solid games
that you feel most strongly about having picked correctly. Don't
try to come up with a wager on every game, simply for the sake of
having some action going. And don't let the fact that a game is
televised influence your decision to pass on it. It is okay
to watch a game purely for the enjoyment of the sport
Look
for Value in Lesser Known College Teams
The
oddsmakers typically have a better feel for the college football
programs that are consistently in the top-20. Because of this fact,
bargain lines will be hard to come by for the "glamour"
teams. Look for games between some of the lesser-known programs
when shopping for good value betting lines.
Don't
Overreact to Blowouts
Quite
often after a rout (especially Monday Night games), casual bettors
can't wait to jump on the winner and against the loser the following
week. Don't fall into this trap - as the saying goes, "On any
given Sunday ..."
Don't
Be Scared to Lay Big Numbers in College
In
college football, there is a huge difference in talent level from
one program to the next. Don't be afraid to lay double digits -
if you've done your homework and it supports the numbers, don't
hesitate to play a big favorite.
Pay
Attention to Strength of Schedule
It
happens every year - in college and the NFL - teams post gaudy numbers
for several weeks in a row against inferior competition. Eventually,
they'll meet a tougher opponent, and chances are the line will be
over inflated due to public sentiment based on the team's previous
games. Pay as much attention to WHO a team has played as to HOW
a team has played.
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